European "double-reverse" vote: Yingrui opposes Germany's attitude

On the 24th, EU member states voted on the European Commission's proposal for taxation of photovoltaics in China. The reporter interviewed many senior observers who were close to the PV case in Europe and learned that only the United Kingdom and Sweden have clearly expressed their willingness to vote against it. Many member states are still hesitating at the last moment...
On the 24th, EU member states voted on the European Commission's proposal for taxation of photovoltaics in China. The reporter interviewed many senior observers who were close to the PV case in Europe and learned that only the United Kingdom and Sweden have clearly expressed their willingness to vote against it. Many member states are still hesitating at the last moment and have not made a final decision, especially in Germany and other big countries. The attitude is ambiguous.

The picture shows that on the morning of May 23, thousands of employees of Yingli Green Energy protested in the factory area and said “NO” to the PV.

But regardless of the outcome of the vote, the EU will impose no sanctions on the Chinese PV industry. Under this circumstance, more than 40 Chinese PV companies issued a joint statement against the EU's taxation of photovoltaic products in China, and called on the leaders of the countries that are about to visit the EU to urge European countries to show their sincerity and actions as soon as possible.

What is worrying is that China-EU trade has been fragile and tight, and the trend of the largest PV case is considered to be the most critical factor. If the EU insists on setting limits on China's photovoltaic products, the Sino-European trade war will be launched.

process

The EU is only optimistic that the results of the English and Swiss statements are optimistic.


On the 24th, EU member states voted on the European Commission's proposal for taxation of China's photovoltaics. Earlier, EU Trade Commissioner Karel deGucht submitted a proposal to the European Commission to propose anti-dumping tariffs on China's PV products exported to Europe. The plan is to levy a temporary rate of 47% from June 6. tariff.

The reporter recently interviewed many senior observers who are close to the PV case in Europe. At the last moment, many member states are still hesitating and have not made a final decision. In particular, the attitudes of big countries such as Germany are ambiguous. "At present, only Britain and Sweden have already Clearly expressed will vote against, Cameron is actively actively lobbying the EU countries to vote against, other countries do not express their views, the overall situation is very uncertain, and may still change rapidly before the moment of voting." According to informed sources.

Previously, the vote originally scheduled for the 15th had been postponed because most countries did not vote. Senior European experts have analyzed that many countries are now considering it repeatedly. They do not want to offend China and do not want to offend the European Commission. Therefore, some countries will eventually choose to abstain.

Although the German Deputy Prime Minister and the Minister of Economy expressed their opposition to taxation in the foreign media not long ago, German Chancellor Angela Merkel had previously expressed opposition. However, as the voting date finally approaches, the German high-level tacitly collectively “sounds” and no longer makes any clear statement. At the EU summit on the 22nd, the reporters of the Economic Information Daily, who sat in the second row of the venue, raised their hands to ask questions. Merkel and his spokesmen repeatedly voted for their eyes, but they never questioned Chinese reporters. . The foreign media seems to have a tacit understanding, and it is very unusual to ask questions about the photovoltaic case.

Comprehensive analysis, the voting situation is not optimistic. In this case, the agent of the Chinese company VanBael & Bellis law firm Benoit Serve told reporters that according to the EU voting rules, the 27 member states of the European Union have the same voting rights in this case. The problem is that the rules stipulate that abstention votes will be regarded as Agree with the ticket processing. Therefore, many countries choose to abstain for some reason and objectively increase the number of votes in favor. To get 14 "clear black", the difficulty can be imagined.

In addition, according to EU law, even if most member states vote against it, the European Commission can initiate temporary anti-dumping and countervailing measures. Therefore, the influence of member states can only be effective when deciding whether to initiate formal countermeasures. From this point of view, the EU trade experts, director of the European Center for International Political Economy Research, Li-Mushan, believes that the EU will impose sanctions on China's photovoltaic industry.

Just two days ago, the first round of negotiations between China and the EU photovoltaics broke down because the European side did not show any sincerity in solving the problem through consultation.

According to people familiar with the matter, during the negotiations, the asking price of the European side was “very high”, the practice was too arrogant and aggressive, and the gap between the psychological expectations and affordability of Chinese companies was too great. "In fact, the EU is the nephew of negotiating, letting China first come out of the plan, and actually testing the bottom line of the Chinese side."

"From the current point of view, the taxation announced on June 5 is almost certain. Once the preliminary ruling decides to impose a high anti-dumping duty, many domestic enterprises will be unbearable." The above-mentioned insiders judged. However, he also said that the breakdown of this round of negotiations does not mean that there is no second round or third round of negotiations. Due to the opposition of the EU political circles and the industry, the possibility of punitive tariffs in the final ruling is finally avoided through negotiation.

protest

PV companies call for high-level pressure on Europe

On May 23, there is still one day to vote for the EU PV taxation case, and 14 days before the preliminary ruling. At this critical time, “N oTrade Pro-tection!” will be blocked in the EU outside the EU. Photovoltaic companies have made such an answer.

On the morning of May 23, in Baoding, Hebei, thousands of employees of Yingli Green Energy put a big “NO” in the factory area, held up the protest text and banner of “T radeProtection” with their left hand, shouted slogans and strongly opposed EU trade. Protecting behavior requires free trade. In this protest demonstration team, there are a number of workers, sales staff, and partners in the Yingli procurement chain.

This scene is also staged in the factories of dozens of PV companies such as Artes and Trina Solar. In parallel, more than 40 Chinese PV companies issued a joint statement in Beijing to oppose EU anti-dumping and countervailing taxation on Chinese PV products. "We are here to hold a press conference to support the public statement of the Chamber of Commerce and Industry yesterday afternoon and support all the efforts of the relevant government departments to properly handle the PV trade friction. It is to express China on the eve of the vote of EU member states on May 24. The attitude and determination of PV companies call for fair trade and strive to overweight the positive efforts of all parties,” said Liang Tian, ​​Director of Public Relations of Yingli Group.

According to Fan Zhenhua, a lawyer representative of PV companies and Fan Lihua, the legal director of Yingli Green Energy, since the anti-dumping investigation issued by the European Commission on September 6, 2012 and the anti-subsidy investigation released on November 8, more than 150 PV companies have given sufficient investigation to the investigation itself. Cooperate, in the hope that the European Commission can get a fair conclusion. However, the European Commission rejected the application for market economy of all Chinese companies on the grounds that Chinese companies did not have a set of accounting systems that conformed to the "International Accounting Standards". This is unfair for most sample companies that are listed companies at home and abroad.

The statement pointed out that any form of trade protection, any level of punitive tariffs, will ultimately only result in a loss. While it will have a negative impact on Chinese PV companies, it will become an obstacle to the development of PV applications in Europe, which will have a major negative impact on the EU's real economy and employment. "I hope that the European Commission will face these influences and do not want to go it alone." Wang Yi, the chief strategy officer of China's photovoltaic companies and Yingli Green Energy, said.

Zhang Qian, the representative of China's photovoltaic enterprises and vice president of Suntech Power, also said that he opposes any form of trade protectionism and calls on EU member states to work with Chinese PV companies to oppose trade protection and support free trade.

"I hope that the China Electromechanical Chamber of Commerce will continue to conduct multi-form negotiations on behalf of Chinese PV companies in the EU. I also hope that the leaders of the countries that are going to visit the EU will urge European countries to show their sincerity and actions as soon as possible to make this the largest trade between China and Europe. The case was properly resolved.” Liang Tian on behalf of domestic PV companies called for a press conference.

Research judgment

Sino-European trade war is difficult to avoid


What worries people in the industry is that in recent times, the EU has frequently attacked Chinese companies. Sino-European trade disputes have been densely populated in many fields such as photovoltaic cells, photovoltaic glass, polysilicon, telecommunications equipment, aluminum materials, and aviation. stretch. In the arrogant situation, the trend of the largest PV double-counter case involved in the case is regarded as the most critical factor affecting China-EU economic and trade relations over a period of time.

"If the EU continues to insist on its own efforts in the photovoltaic case, it will only further worsen the negotiation situation and become the fuse for igniting the Sino-European trade war." Fan Zhenhua told the Economic Information Daily that "if the EU trade protection continues, we believe that the Chinese government will not sit idly by, and there will be corresponding measures to deal with it. Trade wars will be triggered at once. The war is not good for anyone.” He said that the Chamber of Commerce and Industry is based on the consideration of not wanting a trade war and wishing to resolve the issue. The price commitment plan will be openly and honestly. It is difficult to understand the direct rejection of the European Commission.

Bai Ming, a researcher at the Research Institute of the Ministry of Commerce, said in an interview with the Economic Information Daily that the EU is hungry for food in the context of a bad domestic economy. In order to prevent the Chinese industry from occupying high-end, it is a great stick for the Chinese PV industry with a trade protection stick. Different from taking the initiative to provoke a trade war.

"In the face of the arrogant attitude of the European Commission and the non-standardized approach, China should resolutely counteract." Bai Ming said that last year we have launched a double-reverse investigation on the polysilicon of the European Union, but the amount of polysilicon involved is far less than that of the PV. Compared with the case. Since the European Commission does not hesitate to launch actions that harm people and take advantage of their neighbors, then we should also expand our scope when countering, and take countermeasures in other areas than photovoltaics. "Of course, such a counter-measure must be justified, and at the same time it is less harmful to us. For example, a car is an option to consider."

Tu Xinquan, vice president of the China WTO Research Institute of the University of International Business and Economics, told this reporter that from the current situation, if the EU insists on taxing China's photovoltaics, then a trade conflict between the two sides or a "local trade war" is inevitable. . Meng Xianyu, vice chairman of the China Renewable Energy Society, also stressed that once the EU tax ruling is passed, China may also carry out counter-measures. "If it continues, the only damage will be the trade between China and the EU, and let each other fall into a stalemate in the trade war. ”

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